Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.256606 1.416925 1.592066 1.797957 2.033821 2.296097 2.610555
2026-01-18 1.032502 1.248841 1.504220 1.829370 2.234390 2.724917 3.367995
2026-01-25 0.857915 1.097252 1.397877 1.806303 2.351461 3.060680 4.064005
2026-02-01 0.713185 0.954436 1.273223 1.730197 2.376459 3.269735 4.618884
2026-02-08 0.612911 0.852622 1.183469 1.680329 2.419517 3.497587 5.224268
2026-02-15 0.538561 0.775014 1.114096 1.644788 2.470935 3.735721 5.873100
2026-02-22 0.501298 0.744914 1.107215 1.697142 2.656660 4.196814 6.940938
2026-03-01 0.461778 0.705994 1.081147 1.714082 2.785176 4.580225 7.938216
2026-03-08 0.416679 0.653025 1.026510 1.676626 2.816106 4.800739 8.680010
2026-03-15 0.377172 0.604634 0.973520 1.634386 2.831038 4.991561 9.392922
2026-03-22 0.363587 0.597110 0.986493 1.706061 3.055843 5.590465 10.994624
2026-03-29 0.347814 0.584086 0.988315 1.757225 3.248107 6.153450 12.622790
2026-04-05 0.329574 0.566229 0.981941 1.796647 3.431599 6.743742 14.464647
2026-04-12 0.310183 0.544556 0.966717 1.817997 3.583796 7.298002 16.352648
2026-04-19 0.286340 0.512476 0.929035 1.790830 3.632707 7.641736 17.825201
2026-04-26 0.258981 0.471295 0.870067 1.713694 3.564570 7.716393 18.654417
2026-05-03 0.237709 0.439772 0.826679 1.663620 3.548597 7.907119 19.822511
2026-05-10 0.220210 0.414003 0.792134 1.628162 3.560431 8.164841 21.226796
2026-05-17 0.213285 0.408435 0.797541 1.679789 3.780965 8.966741 24.331749
2026-05-24 0.203465 0.396128 0.787836 1.696477 3.920374 9.588311 27.069816
2026-05-31 0.189606 0.374349 0.756219 1.659422 3.922252 9.851186 28.785433
2026-06-07 0.176554 0.353208 0.724103 1.617651 3.906611 10.064804 30.401511
2026-06-14 0.173709 0.353456 0.738505 1.688506 4.193373 11.169442 35.246302